-- CHICAGO -- Late last night, the pollster Gallup declared Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama had an 11 percentage-point lead over his Republican rival, John McCain, and predicted that Mr. Obama would win the presidency tomorrow.*
If Gallup is wrong, it will be "Dewey beats Truman" once again, and with the same pollster. For it was Gallup that predicted Harry Truman would go down to defeat in 1948, which up until now was the single biggest mistake in polling history.
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