10 November 2006

I've said it before

I'll say it again. There will be no Iranian nuclear bomb.

Or, to be more precise, it'll only ever happen over Israel's blackened smoking corpse.

Sanctions against Iran are unlikely to work, so Israel must be prepared to thwart Teheran's drive for a nuclear capability "at all costs," the newly installed Deputy Minister of Defense Ephraim Sneh has told The Jerusalem Post.

"I am not advocating an Israeli preemptive military action against Iran, and I am aware of all of its possible repercussions," Sneh stressed. "I consider it a last resort. But even the last resort is sometimes the only resort."
He also said, "I prefer fewer declarations and more deeds."

In playgrounds and geopolitical circles, that's called, 'a line in the sand'.

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SouthernTory said...

I think it was about 1982 when Israeli fighter jets bombed an Iranian warehouse or something to that effect. It was believed to be housing WMD. They did it once, they'll do it again. Forget the repercussions. Ultimately, God will
protect Israel. That's all anybody needs to know. I give thanx to PMSH
for his stand beside the Jewish Nation. This truly is a big reason
why I support Conservatives. It just runs in my blood.

james higham said...

That could provoke the mother of all wars. I say bring it on and let's get it done with.

Neo Conservative said...

israel doesn't bluff.

and for all the silly talk of proportionate response, modern militery doctrine is that you hit your enemy with everything you've got in hope of destroying his momentum and morale.

you want a totally disproportionate response... hence the term, "shock and awe."

Kate said...

I am ready to place a wager that as long as the Israelis are lead by Olmert/Kadima party there will be NO UNILATERAL pre-emptive attack against Iran. Furthermore, Israel is being led by the most incompetent PM in its history. Olmert is currently polling with only 7% approval ratings. There is no way will approve a pre-emptive strike - last summer in Lebanon took the wind out of his sails.

Furthermore, the IDF has yet to recover from Sharon's systematic purges of its religiuos based soldiers who make up 30% of the Officer core and 40% of elite combat troops - Israelis religious soldiers were always some of its most highly motivated and innovative soldiers. In fact, current IDF Chief Halutz would never made the list for potential IDF Chief if Sharon hadn't forced through the disasterous disengagement from Gaza. When your top soldiers were forced to resign or be fired is the only circumstances why a medicore like Halutz ends up as Chief.

Until the Israelis effectively address the damage Sharon inflicted with his disasterous disengagement plan from Gaza on the IDF and stop the outing of religious soldiers the IDF is in no position to attack. There are no signs that the Israelis are doing any of this and the outings of religious soldiers is continuing unabated.

The interview is nothing more than the Kadima government's attempt to talk tough but unfortunately there is no walk.

Neo Conservative said...

kate... the interesting part of the argument is that if iran gets the bomb, israel will be living under the constant threat of annihilation... which would actually be more corrosive and intimidating than having a city attacked with one.

if there's an attack, you retaliate with massive force. if there is a constant threat... you are stressed every hour of every day.

people will inevitably flee, for their children's safety, if not their own... and the dangerous demographic will tilt even further in favour of the arabs in the region.

the choices are, deal with this on their own terms... or irans.

not an elegant hand, but you play the cards you're dealt. it's a strategic situation, not a tactical one.

so choose... hiroshima, or masada?